Spain’s Odds Were Rather Generous

Was I the only one surprised by Spain’s comfortable 4-0 victory over the Republic of Ireland? Or was I the only one pre-game predicting they’d thrash Giovanni Trapattoni’s side?

Spain were 1.80 to beat Ireland by 2 or more goals this evening. They didn’t disappoint. I lumped on, as tipped over at Premiership Tips.

Even more surprisingly, Spain’s odds to beat Ireland by 3 goals or more were greater than 2/1. To put that into perspective, the world champions looking for their first win of the tournament, full of Champions League regulars were 3.20 to beat a nation that shipped 3 goals to Croatia in their opening game, with a number of players that either were playing English Championship last season or will be playing it next season.

Maybe I was the only one surprised. I backed that too. But only a small amount on Spain winning by 4 goals or more at 5.70. Yes, my cruise around the Caribbean in July was paid for by Ireland’s shambolic defending in this game.

The TV pundits here in England have already praised Fernando Torres for his brace, but I would not expect him to go on to win the Golden Boot. He’s certainly not great value at 6/1 currently. Yes, they were two good finishes but they came about from two poor pieces of defending from Republic of Ireland. I wouldn’t expect Torres to be assisted by the opposition defence against international defences at Euro 2012. Not again anyway.

Having heard a number of Irish callers ringing in to talkSport pre-tournament, full of optimism and talking about how a point versus Croatia in their opening game would be enough to see them go through (no, really, more than one caller did), I couldn’t help but laugh. Foolishly on my behalf, as I broke my own rule of not betting below odds of 1/2 and lumped on that Ireland would not progress with odds of 1/6. More to prove a point that anything. I have them at 8/11 to finish bottom of group C also. Italy, please don’t let me down.

The Republic of Ireland were handed a tough draw as fourth seeds and the world number 18 according to FIFA World Rankings heading into this tournament. Three defeats, or less than 3 points at least wouldn’t come as a great surprise to any football fan, despite Denmark and Ukraine pulling off surprises in this tournament. My sympathy goes out to their fans who have cheered their team on well from the stands in their two games so far. And my thanks go out to the Irish national team for the profit made in their opening two games.