Euro 2020 last-16: Croatia vs Spain betting preview

Spain and Croatia meet in the Euro 2020 Round of 16 in Copenhagen on Monday 28 June.

The 2008 and 2012 winners booked their place in the knockout rounds in style with a 5-0 demolition of Slovakia in their final group game to finish runners-up to Sweden. Prior to that, Luis Enrique’s side drew with both the Scandinavian nation and Poland.

2018 World Cup finalists Croatia made a slow start to their campaign with a 0-1 loss to England and 1-1 draw with the Czech Republic before beating lowly Scotland 3-1 to finish runners-up in Group D.

Neither of these nations are expected to reach the final with Croatia at a price of 75/1 and Spain 8/1 at the top online gambling sites.

Team News

Spain currently have their full squad available for this game, which comes five days after their final group game.

The head coach has kept faith in Alvaro Morata despite his poor finishing and missed penalty already. His strike partner Gerard Moreno has yet to score in his two starts but has supplied two assists.

Borna Barisic is the only player listed doubtful currently for Croatia, who will have had an additional day to rest and prepare for this tie. Only themselves and Germany finished in the top two in their respective groups without keeping a clean sheet.

Predicted XIs

Spain (4-3-3): Unai Simon; Cesar Azpilicueta, Aymeric Laporte, Pau Torres, Jordi Alba; Sergio Busquets, Koke, Pedri; Pablo Sarabia, Alvaro Morata, Dani Olmo

Luis Enrique could opt to go with Dani Olmo and Pablo Sarabia in support of his striker against this Croatian defence.

Cesar Azpilicueta had a good game versus Slovakia so could keep his place at right-back. Sergio Busquets just about came through the last game so appears to be fit to start this one.

Croatia (4-3-3): Dominik Livakovic; Sime Vrsaljko, Dejan Lovren, Domagoj Vida, Josko Gvardiol; Luka Modric, Marcelo Brozovic, Mateo Kovacic; Nikoal Vlasic, Bruno Petkovic, Ivan Perisic

Zlatko Dalic has an excellent midfield trio that should make for an entertaining clash at the Parken on Monday.

Ivan Perisic has been their biggest threat in the tournament so far, scoring two of Croatia’s four goals. The Internazionale forward may struggle to see many opportunities in this game with Azpilicueta marking him.


The bookmakers are giving only Italy (vs Austria) and France (vs Switzerland) shorter odds than they have given Spain to beat Croatia in 90 minutes.

Spain are only 3/5 which won’t give a great return. You will find better value in an online blackjack game than that. Though if you’re confident of predicting the correct score or goalscorer you can get very favourable returns.

Both teams failed to impress in their group stage but we are favouring Luis Enrique’s side to progress having only conceded one goal in the tournament so far and created numerous chances. As long as Alvaro Morata has his shooting boots on, or a team mate to fill his spot, that should be enough for the favourites to progress,